Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 13.616348 15.608811 17.808273 20.419142 23.437631 26.822186 30.911260
2025-10-12 11.124607 13.754499 16.895961 20.935961 26.009911 32.192480 40.329576
2025-10-19 9.770257 12.752466 16.522633 21.660850 28.516060 37.395584 49.848191
2025-10-26 8.344577 11.373997 15.382077 21.106445 29.127509 40.048519 56.184071
2025-11-02 7.342681 10.389602 14.582540 20.819692 29.941557 42.916816 62.990159
2025-11-09 6.556806 9.590751 13.914517 20.584572 30.721629 45.720816 69.912774
2025-11-16 5.896207 8.887068 13.286617 20.301745 31.343532 48.282041 76.669712
2025-11-23 5.309183 8.224358 12.638589 19.893978 31.688479 50.395442 82.882410
2025-11-30 5.096203 8.109477 12.804075 20.754844 34.099366 55.977869 95.345085
2025-12-07 4.791975 7.815670 12.651395 21.070383 35.624389 60.230630 105.993548
2025-12-14 4.453499 7.431456 12.311106 21.027707 36.517547 63.470654 115.179591
2025-12-21 4.126166 7.034496 11.910108 20.833092 37.108529 66.211948 123.720540
2025-12-28 3.979610 6.938640 12.019372 21.557586 39.439847 72.352014 139.456869
2026-01-04 3.814798 6.795235 12.031056 22.103211 41.491591 78.180955 155.288176
2026-01-11 3.696310 6.722901 12.159655 22.870889 44.030019 85.178818 174.281729
2026-01-18 3.400210 6.297960 11.605703 22.283747 43.862401 86.848779 182.421832
2026-01-25 3.169755 5.976779 11.217592 21.980081 44.222327 89.596374 193.153335
2026-02-01 2.967072 5.691901 10.874249 21.731102 44.662518 92.538408 204.636062
2026-02-08 2.776298 5.414767 10.522846 21.431618 44.962106 95.201255 215.786562
2026-02-15 2.587304 5.126254 10.125620 20.999859 44.932429 97.139328 225.472894
2026-02-22 2.553559 5.148348 10.354455 21.911409 47.922318 106.038607 252.762104
2026-03-01 2.462932 5.045886 10.318596 22.245557 49.650870 112.257885 274.290179
2026-03-08 2.342697 4.872027 10.119457 22.200363 50.504759 116.532230 291.467970